Sha Tin · 2023-07-03 · 21:46
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-03 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SUPER FORTUNE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with SOLID SHALAA second and PULSAR STRIDER third. The 2.0 favourite EXCELLENT FIGHTER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT 1.10.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 8 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SOLID SHALAA M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 5 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | PULSAR STRIDER L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 9.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER B/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 2.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 9.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ALL ARE MINE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 124.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 86.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | AORAKI SUMMIT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 1 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 10 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 4 | 4.2 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | KOKUSHI MUSOU B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 164.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 34.4% | 2.91 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | MARK THE MOMENT | 20.9% | 4.78 | 11 |
| 3 | 6 | PULSAR STRIDER | 12.1% | 8.26 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 8.3% | 12.01 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | SOLID SHALAA | 5.1% | 19.64 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 4.6% | 21.71 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | STREET SCREAM | 4.4% | 22.99 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER FORTUNE | 3.2% | 31.36 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | AORAKI SUMMIT | 2.6% | 39.16 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | KEEP YOU WARM | 1.6% | 62.30 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 1.6% | 63.79 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | ALL ARE MINE | 1.3% | 76.25 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 228.5
PLACE
6 23.5
7 51
12 38
QUINELLA
7,12 2,352.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 265
6,12 217.5
7,12 526
FORECAST
7,12 5,384
TIERCE
7,12,6 47,310
TRIO
6,7,12 5,422
FIRST 4
4,6,7,12 2,296
QUARTET
7,12,6,4 125,419
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 54.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/6,7,12 156,372
5TH DOUBLE
3/7 734
3/12 56
TRIPLE TRIO
2,6,9/1,3,6/6,7,12 1,706,711
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,6,9/1,3,6/Any Combination 443