沙田 · 2023-07-03 · 22:18
第 7場
2023-07-03沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的HELENE FEELING勝出，贏出N。E LEGEND獲得亞軍；BON'S A PEARLA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HELENE FEELING 後段發力 TT 1.36.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 9 | E LEGEND 早段領放 B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 13 | 21.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | BON'S A PEARLA B C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 24.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | LEADING FORTUNE B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SNAFFLES 後段發力 M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 3 | 47.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | CHEERY 後段發力 B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSILE B H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 5 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CALIFORNIA VOCE 後段發力 TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | SUNNY STAR 後段發力 B E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | ENTRUSTED 後段發力 CP/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 12 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | NICHOLSON RETURNS B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 9.6 | 4 |
| 12 | 13 | ROMANTIC LAOS H/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 14 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | C P BRAVE CP-/B2/TT- M Dee · A T Millard | M Dee | A T Millard | 8 | 40.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 12 | PACKING KNOCKHILL XB H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 7 | 162.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HELENE FEELING | 21.7% | 4.60 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 21.4% | 4.68 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 12.1% | 8.25 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | CHEERY | 7.6% | 13.15 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 7.1% | 14.13 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 5.0% | 20.10 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | SUNNY STAR | 4.2% | 23.67 | 9 |
| 8 | 14 | ENTRUSTED | 4.2% | 24.02 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | E LEGEND | 3.8% | 26.01 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | LEADING FORTUNE | 3.3% | 30.46 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | SNAFFLES | 3.2% | 31.51 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | BON'S A PEARLA | 3.0% | 33.44 | 3 |
| 13 | 6 | C P BRAVE | 2.6% | 37.99 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | PACKING KNOCKHILL | 0.8% | 121.00 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 31
PLACE
3 15.5
4 53
9 53.5
QUINELLA
3,9 407
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 136.5
3,9 128
4,9 643
FORECAST
3,9 546
TIERCE
3,9,4 8,948
TRIO
3,4,9 2,258
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 8,381
QUARTET
3,9,4,7 83,557
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5
6TH DOUBLE
7/3 1,278
7/9 1,447