跑馬地 · 2023-07-06 · 23:03
第 9場
2023-07-06跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的REWARD SMILE勝出，贏出1-1/4。ARMOUR EAGLE獲得亞軍；MAJESTIC KNIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | REWARD SMILE TT 1.09.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 1.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 1 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | LUCKY EIGHT B1 H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 8 | 37.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | WINGS OF WAR B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | ACT OF FAITH A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 38.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | BRAVE STAR XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SMART IDEA H/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 37.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | GOODBAN BANBANBANG TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 114.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | PRIME MORTAR CP/XB/TT M Dee · K H Ting | M Dee | K H Ting | 11 | 70.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | REWARD SMILE | 24.4% | 4.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | LUCKY EIGHT | 16.5% | 6.06 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 12.6% | 7.94 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | BRAVE STAR | 9.5% | 10.58 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 6.3% | 15.78 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | PRIME MORTAR | 5.5% | 18.02 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | WINGS OF WAR | 5.5% | 18.33 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 5.1% | 19.80 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | SMART IDEA | 4.5% | 22.00 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 4.4% | 22.50 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | ACT OF FAITH | 4.2% | 23.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | GOODBAN BANBANBANG | 1.5% | 67.49 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 18
PLACE
2 17.5
5 29
6 11
QUINELLA
5,6 99.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 73.5
2,6 26.5
5,6 41
FORECAST
6,5 174
TIERCE
6,5,2 614
TRIO
2,5,6 130
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 140
QUARTET
6,5,2,1 2,269
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
6/1/5 119
6/1/6 101
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/2,5,6 6,620
8TH DOUBLE
1/5 32.5
1/6 24
SIX UP
3/4/6/6/1/6 7,702
3,9/4,8/6,7/2,6/1,9/5,6 2,266
1 [K W Lui] —
1 [Z Purton] —