跑馬地 · 2023-07-06 · 21:56
第 7場
2023-07-06跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WATCH BUDDY勝出，贏出N。JUNEAU FLASH獲得亞軍；MELBOURNE HALL獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門LUCKY GOR跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WATCH BUDDY CP1 1.10.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.8 | N |
| 2 | 2 | JUNEAU FLASH P K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 8.6 | N |
| 3 | 8 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 5 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | HARMONY N HOME L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 2 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 10 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | MY INTELLIGENT V2/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY GOR B/E/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 3.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | OUR CLASS ACT H H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 7 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | H Z TOURBILLON TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | THE EQUALIZER XB1/TT- H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 11 | 101.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | BABY B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 16.0 | 17-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HARMONY N HOME | 22.1% | 4.53 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | WATCH BUDDY | 14.6% | 6.87 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | JUNEAU FLASH | 13.7% | 7.32 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | MELBOURNE HALL | 9.7% | 10.32 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY GOR | 9.0% | 11.11 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 7.1% | 14.16 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | OUR CLASS ACT | 5.7% | 17.41 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | BABY | 5.5% | 18.27 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 4.8% | 20.76 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | H Z TOURBILLON | 4.3% | 23.38 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | MY INTELLIGENT | 2.6% | 38.95 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | THE EQUALIZER | 1.1% | 94.23 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 38.5
PLACE
2 27
6 17
8 39.5
QUINELLA
2,6 179
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 66
2,8 121.5
6,8 102.5
FORECAST
6,2 337
TIERCE
6,2,8 1,915
TRIO
2,6,8 504
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 614
QUARTET
6,2,8,5 10,008
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/2,6,8 65,155
6TH DOUBLE
6/2 49
6/6 129.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,8/2,6,7/Any Combination 118,149