跑馬地 · 2023-07-06 · 20:21
第 4場
2023-07-06跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程2200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A T Millard訓練的SUPER HONG KONG勝出，贏出3-3/4。BORN THE SAME DAY獲得亞軍；MANAGEMENT FOLKS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT 2.16.93 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 3.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | BORN THE SAME DAY 後段發力 H/XB M Dee · C W Chang | M Dee | C W Chang | 11 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS 後段發力 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 4.6 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | NICE BIRDIE 早段領放 B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | HAPPY ANGEL B C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 4 | 4.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | FLYING SILVER CP/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 7 | 49.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | KOWLOON GREAT 後段發力 CP/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 8.7 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | EL VALIENTE TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 5 | 52.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | REACH GOAL 後段發力 TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 6 | 13.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | TELECOM CHEETAH B/XB/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 9.5 | 15-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 18.0 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 19.2% | 5.22 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | HAPPY ANGEL | 18.9% | 5.30 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER HONG KONG | 11.4% | 8.75 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | NICE BIRDIE | 10.3% | 9.72 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | REACH GOAL | 9.8% | 10.24 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | KOWLOON GREAT | 7.1% | 14.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 5.6% | 17.81 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | EL VALIENTE | 5.5% | 18.33 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | FLYING SILVER | 4.6% | 21.82 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 3.9% | 25.66 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 3.9% | 25.94 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 38
PLACE
3 16.5
4 17
9 47.5
QUINELLA
3,9 403.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 37.5
3,9 129.5
4,9 173.5
FORECAST
3,9 583
TIERCE
3,9,4 2,561
TRIO
3,4,9 444
FIRST 4
3,4,6,9 1,669
QUARTET
3,9,4,6 32,966
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20
3RD DOUBLE
12/3 174
12/9 156