跑馬地 · 2023-10-29 · 06:20
第 4場
2023-10-29跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Avdulla策騎、D J Hall訓練的MR VALIANT勝出，贏出N。SERGEANT PEPPER獲得亞軍；JUMBO LEGEND獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門KING INVINCIBLE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MR VALIANT 0.57.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 5.4 | N |
| 2 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 7.9 | N |
| 3 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND H/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | KING INVINCIBLE TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR CP K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B-/V2/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 4 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | BAEBAE TSOI TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 70.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | PATCH OF WATCH L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 25.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | THE EQUALIZER XB-/B1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 111.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GALLANT VALOUR A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KING INVINCIBLE | 21.6% | 4.63 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 18.2% | 5.49 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | PATCH OF WATCH | 9.8% | 10.21 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 8.7% | 11.50 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 8.3% | 12.07 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 8.0% | 12.47 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 7.0% | 14.38 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 6.8% | 14.62 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | MR VALIANT | 4.6% | 21.68 | 1 |
| 10 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.48 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | BAEBAE TSOI | 2.1% | 48.29 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | THE EQUALIZER | 1.0% | 99.73 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 54
PLACE
1 41
4 23.5
11 21.5
QUINELLA
4,11 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 160.5
1,11 126
4,11 82.5
FORECAST
11,4 463
TIERCE
11,4,1 5,609
TRIO
1,4,11 1,453
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 1,011
QUARTET
11,4,1,10 21,907
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,12/1,4,11 191,310
3RD DOUBLE
12/4 59.5
12/11 673