跑馬地 · 2023-10-29 · 07:50
第 6場
2023-10-29跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的TOMODACHI KOKOROE勝出，贏出3-3/4。PARTY WARRIOR獲得亞軍；LUCKY PLANET獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE H/TT 1.09.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR H- L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | LUCKY PLANET SR-/B1 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | FLAMING EAGLE PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 9.2 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | MULTIDARLING TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | JUNEAU FLASH P B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | LEAN MASTER TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 3 | 58.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SEE U AGAIN L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 11 | 23.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | COMPASSION SUPER XB/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 50.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | GOLDEN LINK K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 7.5 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | DIAMOND FLARE Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 6 | 10.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | FLASH POINT B1/TT1 A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 85.0 | 24-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 38.3% | 2.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | FLAMING EAGLE | 12.0% | 8.33 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | LUCKY PLANET | 9.1% | 11.02 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLDEN LINK | 7.7% | 12.96 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | SEE U AGAIN | 6.3% | 15.92 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | DIAMOND FLARE | 5.5% | 18.07 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | JUNEAU FLASH | 5.0% | 19.85 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | MULTIDARLING | 4.8% | 20.72 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR | 3.8% | 26.56 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | COMPASSION SUPER | 3.4% | 29.24 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | FLASH POINT | 2.7% | 37.38 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | LEAN MASTER | 1.4% | 74.00 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 25
PLACE
1 14.5
3 46
9 17
QUINELLA
1,3 308.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 108.5
1,9 33
3,9 140
FORECAST
1,3 475
TIERCE
1,3,9 2,310
TRIO
1,3,9 477
FIRST 4
1,3,9,11 720
QUARTET
1,3,9,11 13,375
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,12/1,3,9 100,945
5TH DOUBLE
8/1 158.5
8/3 196
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,11/2,8,12/Any Combination 26,673