跑馬地 · 2023-10-29 · 07:20
第 5場
2023-10-29跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Whyte訓練的DURHAM STAR勝出，贏出1-1/2。DRAGON STAR獲得亞軍；RED HARE KING獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門PACKING SUCCEEDER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DURHAM STAR 後段發力 SR/XB 1.40.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | DRAGON STAR 早段領放 V/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 6.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | RED HARE KING TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | PACKING SUCCEEDER 後段發力 TT- L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 3 | 3.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | CONCERTO 後段發力 XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 10 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | NINJA DERBY 後段發力 H/XB K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 1 | 99.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS 後段發力 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 7 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | LITTLE FAIRY B/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.8 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | GOLDEN BULL XB/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 4 | 6.2 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 後段發力 B/XB K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 47.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | CHATEAU B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 24.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK B/H/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 61.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DURHAM STAR | 33.6% | 2.98 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GOLDEN BULL | 14.7% | 6.81 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | DRAGON STAR | 11.4% | 8.80 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | CONCERTO | 10.7% | 9.34 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 8.0% | 12.53 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | PACKING SUCCEEDER | 5.8% | 17.21 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | RED HARE KING | 4.7% | 21.47 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | LITTLE FAIRY | 4.6% | 21.73 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.4% | 22.56 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | CHATEAU | 1.1% | 94.50 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK | 0.6% | 155.60 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | NINJA DERBY | 0.5% | 200.64 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 53
PLACE
2 42.5
8 18.5
12 22.5
QUINELLA
8,12 164
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 118
2,12 146.5
8,12 59.5
FORECAST
8,12 365
TIERCE
8,12,2 3,674
TRIO
2,8,12 808
FIRST 4
2,3,8,12 595
QUARTET
8,12,2,3 13,867
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
12/11/8 2,918
12/11/12 692
4TH DOUBLE
11/8 350.5
11/12 72.5