沙田 · 2023-11-05 · 09:20
第 9場
2023-11-05沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D A Hayes訓練的GLOBAL HARMONY勝出，贏出N。LADY'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；BEAUTY CRESCENT獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門GREENWICH跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GLOBAL HARMONY CP 1.09.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 10 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 10 | 4.5 | N |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | GREENWICH TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SWIFT ASCEND XB K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 2 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 8 | 74.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | NORTHERN BEACHES M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 7.8 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 53.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 6 | 21.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | BEER PALACE A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 1 | 108.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | MASTER STROKE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 177.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LADY'S CHOICE | 26.1% | 3.83 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | GREENWICH | 17.2% | 5.83 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | GLOBAL HARMONY | 10.5% | 9.53 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 9.2% | 10.82 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 9.0% | 11.07 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 7.9% | 12.73 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 4.9% | 20.36 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | SWIFT ASCEND | 4.4% | 22.73 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | BEER PALACE | 4.1% | 24.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.8% | 36.13 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.5% | 40.61 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | MASTER STROKE | 1.5% | 68.21 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 62.5
PLACE
1 19.5
5 20.5
10 16
QUINELLA
5,10 174
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 52
1,10 61.5
5,10 63.5
FORECAST
5,10 415
TIERCE
5,10,1 1,135
TRIO
1,5,10 142
FIRST 4
1,4,5,10 484
QUARTET
5,10,1,4 9,585
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
5/5 120
5/10 26.5