沙田 · 2023-11-05 · 05:05
第 1場
2023-11-05沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的BEAT HOLLOW勝出，贏出NOSE。YOO YOO KNIGHT獲得亞軍；COMPULSORY獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.3倍大熱門CASA LEGEND跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BEAT HOLLOW 一路領先 1.22.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 13.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 7 | YOO YOO KNIGHT 後段發力 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 33.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 14 | COMPULSORY 後段發力 CP/XB K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 1 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | APEX TOP B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | NOBLE ONE 後段發力 B- A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 6 | 8.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | JUST GREAT TWO L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 11 | 125.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER JOY P-/CP1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | DIAMOND FOREVER A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 3 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CASA LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 14 | 3.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | GOOD VIEW GLORY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 17.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | FORTUNE MASTER 後段發力 B/XB/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | EASY TWO B/H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 13 | 56.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 6 | ONE HEART ONE B-/CP2/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | SUPER CONTENTED H1/P1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 34.0 | 78-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CASA LEGEND | 18.4% | 5.42 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | NOBLE ONE | 17.3% | 5.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | ONE HEART ONE | 14.8% | 6.77 | 13 |
| 4 | 14 | COMPULSORY | 8.0% | 12.57 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | APEX TOP | 7.9% | 12.58 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 6.1% | 16.45 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | BEAT HOLLOW | 5.1% | 19.60 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | FORTUNE MASTER | 4.9% | 20.33 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 4.6% | 21.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER JOY | 4.2% | 23.76 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPER CONTENTED | 2.9% | 34.89 | 14 |
| 12 | 8 | EASY TWO | 2.8% | 35.63 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | JUST GREAT TWO | 1.7% | 57.40 | 6 |
| 14 | 1 | DIAMOND FOREVER | 1.3% | 77.47 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 135.5
PLACE
7 72
12 34.5
14 23
QUINELLA
7,12 1,743
QUINELLA PLACE
7,12 514.5
7,14 273.5
12,14 129.5
FORECAST
12,7 3,085
TIERCE
12,7,14 24,007
TRIO
7,12,14 4,077
FIRST 4
7,9,12,14 4,375
QUARTET
12,7,14,9 140,977