Sha Tin · 2023-11-05 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAT HOLLOW Wire to wire 1.22.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 13.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | YOO YOO KNIGHT Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 33.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | COMPULSORY Closed strongly CP/XB K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 1 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | APEX TOP B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE ONE Closed strongly B- A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 6 | 8.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | JUST GREAT TWO L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 11 | 125.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER JOY P-/CP1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DIAMOND FOREVER A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 3 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 14 | 3.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD VIEW GLORY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 17.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly B/XB/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | EASY TWO B/H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 13 | 56.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE B-/CP2/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER CONTENTED H1/P1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 34.0 | 78-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-05 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAT HOLLOW, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by NOSE, with YOO YOO KNIGHT second and COMPULSORY third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite CASA LEGEND finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CASA LEGEND | 18.4% | 5.42 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | NOBLE ONE | 17.3% | 5.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE | 14.8% | 6.77 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | COMPULSORY | 8.0% | 12.57 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | APEX TOP | 7.9% | 12.58 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 6.1% | 16.45 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAT HOLLOW | 5.1% | 19.60 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 4.9% | 20.33 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 4.6% | 21.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER JOY | 4.2% | 23.76 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER CONTENTED | 2.9% | 34.89 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | EASY TWO | 2.8% | 35.63 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | JUST GREAT TWO | 1.7% | 57.40 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | DIAMOND FOREVER | 1.3% | 77.47 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 135.5
PLACE
7 72
12 34.5
14 23
QUINELLA
7,12 1,743
QUINELLA PLACE
7,12 514.5
7,14 273.5
12,14 129.5
FORECAST
12,7 3,085
TIERCE
12,7,14 24,007
TRIO
7,12,14 4,077
FIRST 4
7,9,12,14 4,375
QUARTET
12,7,14,9 140,977