Sha Tin · 2023-11-05 · 09:55
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-05 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DROMBEG BANNER, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by P C Ng, won by SH, with GREEN N WHITE second and BEAUTY FIT third. The winner led throughout. The 2.1 favourite YELLOWFIN finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DROMBEG BANNER Wire to wire 1.21.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 10 | 18.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | GREEN N WHITE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 9 | 3.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 20.0 | SH |
| 4 | 4 | BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly H M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 13 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | FOOLISH HEART Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 112.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | YELLOWFIN XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 2.1 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly TT1 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 50.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 3 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | FLAMINGO TRILLION CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | PHOENIX LIGHT Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 11 | 110.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | FALLON Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 6 | 149.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | GOOD BUDDY CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT2 B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 2 | 67.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | PARTERRE B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 20.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YELLOWFIN | 24.6% | 4.06 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | GREEN N WHITE | 24.1% | 4.14 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | BLUE MARLIN | 10.5% | 9.48 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 8.0% | 12.56 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 6.0% | 16.54 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | GOOD BUDDY | 4.8% | 20.65 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | DROMBEG BANNER | 4.8% | 20.94 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 4.5% | 22.03 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | PARTERRE | 3.7% | 26.71 | 14 |
| 10 | 11 | BEAUTY FIT | 2.6% | 38.75 | 3 |
| 11 | 14 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 2.3% | 44.28 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | FOOLISH HEART | 1.7% | 58.31 | 5 |
| 13 | 3 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 1.6% | 61.49 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | FALLON | 0.6% | 171.64 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 181
PLACE
1 47
7 12
11 40
QUINELLA
1,7 219
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 76.5
1,11 374.5
7,11 78
FORECAST
1,7 683
TIERCE
1,7,11 8,143
TRIO
1,7,11 1,253
FIRST 4
1,4,7,11 2,224
QUARTET
1,7,11,4 63,486
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
5/5/1 3,339
5/5/7 72
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,10/1,7,11 29,952
9TH DOUBLE
5/1 961
5/7 40
SIX UP
7,10/2,13/2,9/3,5/5,10/1,7 10,189
7/13/2/5/5/1 2,909,138
1 [A S Cruz] —
4 [Y L Chung] —