Sha Tin · 2023-11-05 · 08:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-05 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PINS PRINCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with BEATO second and CHILLI BABA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PINS PRINCE Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.22.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | BEATO Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | CHILLI BABA Closed strongly B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | CIRCUIT NINE Closed strongly H-/B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | RIVER VIEWS Led early K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 7 | 3.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly V1 K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 4 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | IMPERIAL MAGEE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 6 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | ROBOT FIGHTER Closed strongly K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 13 | 107.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | ALWAYS FLUKE CP/H L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 7.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | YOUNG HORIZON B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 14 | 22.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | DASHING GLORY SR-/B1/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 103.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | MERCHANT PRINCE B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 10 | 195.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | CYBER PATCH PC/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 12 | 145.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | URBAN TRIUMPH V2/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 11 | 177.0 | 23-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PINS PRINCE | 20.9% | 4.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | CHILLI BABA | 15.1% | 6.62 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | RIVER VIEWS | 13.6% | 7.36 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 11.4% | 8.80 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | BEATO | 10.2% | 9.83 | 2 |
| 6 | 13 | YOUNG HORIZON | 6.3% | 15.99 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 6.0% | 16.69 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 5.4% | 18.52 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | CIRCUIT NINE | 4.4% | 22.69 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | ROBOT FIGHTER | 3.8% | 26.36 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 1.2% | 85.46 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | CYBER PATCH | 0.7% | 143.34 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | DASHING GLORY | 0.7% | 144.52 | 11 |
| 14 | 1 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 0.5% | 214.63 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 31.5
PLACE
3 20
5 15
6 29
QUINELLA
3,5 93.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 40.5
3,6 78.5
5,6 56.5
FORECAST
5,3 173
TIERCE
5,3,6 904
TRIO
3,5,6 231
FIRST 4
3,5,6,8 1,227
QUARTET
5,3,6,8 15,637
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,10/3,5,6 68,460
7TH DOUBLE
2/3 110.5
2/5 469