Sha Tin · 2023-11-05 · 08:10
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-05 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. ENCOUNTERED, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with CHAMPION DRAGON second and LA CITY BLANCHE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite SUPER SUNNY SING finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly TT 1.47.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 7 | 8.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER Led early A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 1.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 7.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/XB A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 4 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SENOR TOBA TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 30.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 8 | NIMBLE NIMBUS K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 20.5% | 4.87 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | RUNNING GLORY | 16.5% | 6.05 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER | 15.8% | 6.31 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 14.7% | 6.82 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 9.3% | 10.76 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | ENCOUNTERED | 9.2% | 10.90 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 6.5% | 15.39 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 4.0% | 25.05 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | SENOR TOBA | 3.5% | 28.87 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 123.5
PLACE
2 29.5
9 25
10 21
QUINELLA
2,9 687
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 159
2,10 123
9,10 80.5
FORECAST
2,9 1,469
TIERCE
2,9,10 7,203
TRIO
2,9,10 1,391
FIRST 4
2,4,9,10 2,165
QUARTET
2,9,10,4 44,096
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
13/2 888.5
13/9 340