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Sha Tin · 2023-11-05 · 16:08

Race 7

Group 3 GOOD 1800m Course C+3 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.47.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly TT 1.47.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man 6 12.0 1-1/4
2 0 CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 5 11.0 1-1/4
3 0 LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 1 8.0 1-1/2
4 0 STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly L Hewitson · C Fownes 7 8.7 2-3/4
5 0 MONEY CATCHER Led early A Badel · F C Lor 3 15.0 3
6 0 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H M Chadwick · W Y So 9 1.8 3-1/2
7 0 RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size 8 7.6 4-1/2
8 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/XB A Atzeni · M Newnham 4 39.0 4-3/4
9 0 SENOR TOBA TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 2 30.0 7-1/4
— 0 NIMBLE NIMBUS K De Melo · P F Yiu — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-05 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. ENCOUNTERED, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with CHAMPION DRAGON second and LA CITY BLANCHE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite SUPER SUNNY SING finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ENCOUNTERED—2. CHAMPION DRAGON+1.25L3. LA CITY BLANCHE+1.5L4. STRAIGHT ARRON+2.75L5. MONEY CATCHER+3L6. SUPER SUNNY SING+3.5L7. RUNNING GLORY+4.5L8. TOURBILLON DIAMOND+4.75L9. SENOR TOBA+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SUPER SUNNY SING (20.5%) finished 6th — the winner ENCOUNTERED was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPER SUNNY SING 20.5% 4.87 6
2 0 RUNNING GLORY 16.5% 6.05 7
3 0 MONEY CATCHER 15.8% 6.31 5
4 0 LA CITY BLANCHE 14.7% 6.82 3
5 0 CHAMPION DRAGON 9.3% 10.76 2
6 0 ENCOUNTERED 9.2% 10.90 1
7 0 STRAIGHT ARRON 6.5% 15.39 4
8 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND 4.0% 25.05 8
9 0 SENOR TOBA 3.5% 28.87 9
SUPER SUNNY SINGRUNNING GLORYMONEY CATCHERLA CITY BLANCHECHAMPION DRAGONENCOUNTERED — wonSTRAIGHT ARRONTOURBILLON DIAMONDSENOR TOBA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 123.5

PLACE

2 29.5

9 25

10 21

QUINELLA

2,9 687

QUINELLA PLACE

2,9 159

2,10 123

9,10 80.5

FORECAST

2,9 1,469

TIERCE

2,9,10 7,203

TRIO

2,9,10 1,391

FIRST 4

2,4,9,10 2,165

QUARTET

2,9,10,4 44,096

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

13/2 888.5

13/9 340