Sha Tin · 2023-11-05 · 07:10
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-05 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TOGETHER, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with BEAUTYVERSE second and THE BEST PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT 1.34.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | BEAUTYVERSE Closed strongly H-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPERB BOY TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 2 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | CHING Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 1 | 5.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 4 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SNAFFLES K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 5 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | MOMENTS IN TIME Led early TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 10 | 51.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BEAUTY LIVE CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | ERIMO PC-/B2 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 20.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPERB BOY | 21.3% | 4.70 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | CHING | 15.7% | 6.37 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 14.3% | 7.00 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | SNAFFLES | 11.9% | 8.44 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | THE BEST PEACH | 11.4% | 8.78 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | GALAXY WITNESS | 8.9% | 11.19 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 4.5% | 22.04 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | POWERFUL WINGS | 3.5% | 28.41 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | BEAUTY LIVE | 3.2% | 30.88 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAUTYVERSE | 2.8% | 35.39 | 2 |
| 11 | 3 | ERIMO | 2.4% | 40.86 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 37.5
PLACE
1 23.5
7 16.5
10 47
QUINELLA
7,10 373.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 65
1,10 208.5
7,10 132.5
FORECAST
7,10 732
TIERCE
7,10,1 6,088
TRIO
1,7,10 1,070
FIRST 4
1,7,8,10 954
QUARTET
7,10,1,8 25,061
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
12/4/7 24,805
12/4/10 12,627
4TH DOUBLE
4/7 2,443.5
4/10 988.5