Sha Tin · 2023-11-05 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. I GIVE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with MEEPMEEP second and LUCKY QUALITY third. The 3.4 favourite MEEPMEEP finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | I GIVE 1.09.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | MEEPMEEP Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | LUCKY QUALITY TT1 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | AWESOME TREASURE TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 4 | 8.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | JOYFUL LIFE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | MASSIVE TALENT B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 10 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | DEVAS TWELVE TT1 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 88.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | ALWAYS AWESOME L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/H/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 6 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | BEAUTY DESTINY Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 8 | 5.8 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | HIGH RISE POWER K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 7 | 19.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 51.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | TEXAS MOON C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MEEPMEEP | 19.6% | 5.11 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | HIGH RISE POWER | 16.4% | 6.11 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | I GIVE | 13.4% | 7.47 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | ALWAYS AWESOME | 7.8% | 12.77 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | LUCKY QUALITY | 7.8% | 12.85 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 7.7% | 12.99 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | AWESOME TREASURE | 7.6% | 13.13 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 6.3% | 15.82 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | DEVAS TWELVE | 5.0% | 20.03 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | JOYFUL LIFE | 4.7% | 21.06 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | DUBLIN STAR | 1.9% | 53.73 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | MASSIVE TALENT | 1.8% | 54.66 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 58.5
PLACE
2 19
7 16
9 46
QUINELLA
2,7 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 46
2,9 156.5
7,9 114.5
FORECAST
2,7 314
TIERCE
2,7,9 2,839
TRIO
2,7,9 575
FIRST 4
2,3,7,9 728
QUARTET
2,7,9,3 13,795
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/2 721.5
12/7 95
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,12,14/2,7,9 295,851