Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-11-05 · 06:05

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-05 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WUNDERBAR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by N, with MULTISUPER second and RUN RUN TIMING third. The 3.9 favourite PARENTS' LOVE finished 5th.

Result

Official · 0.56.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 WUNDERBAR 0.56.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size 5 10.0 N
2 4 MULTISUPER CP-/B1 Z Purton · P F Yiu 3 4.8 N
3 8 RUN RUN TIMING TT1 K De Melo · C H Yip 10 20.0 2-3/4
4 10 STRATHBARRY C L Chau · T P Yung 11 93.0 4
5 7 PARENTS' LOVE TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 3.9 4
6 1 AMAZING ACE TT E C W Wong · P C Ng 12 13.0 6-1/4
7 9 STERLING WONGCHOY XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 9.1 7-3/4
8 14 GOLDEN WARSTEED XB2/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 6 15.0 8
9 2 DIVINE SHINING BO/H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 2 63.0 9-3/4
10 11 WOODFIRE CHAMP TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 9 37.0 9-3/4
11 6 BEAUTY UNITY XB-/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 1 130.0 10
12 5 SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui 8 22.0 12-1/2
13 3 HONG KONG HALL TT L Ferraris · D J Hall 14 5.3 14
14 13 UNIVERSAL PURSUIT XB A Atzeni · K W Lui 13 15.0 15-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WUNDERBAR2. MULTISUPER+0.05L3. RUN RUN TIMING+2.75L4. STRATHBARRY+4L5. PARENTS' LOVE+4L6. AMAZING ACE+6.25L7. STERLING WONGCHOY+7.75L8. GOLDEN WARSTEED+8L9. DIVINE SHINING+9.75L10. WOODFIRE CHAMP+9.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick MULTISUPER (22.1%) finished 2nd — the winner WUNDERBAR was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 MULTISUPER 22.1% 4.53 2
2 3 HONG KONG HALL 20.9% 4.78 13
3 12 WUNDERBAR 13.0% 7.70 1
4 1 AMAZING ACE 7.8% 12.89 6
5 13 UNIVERSAL PURSUIT 6.7% 15.00 14
6 7 PARENTS' LOVE 5.8% 17.32 5
7 8 RUN RUN TIMING 4.6% 21.74 3
8 9 STERLING WONGCHOY 4.4% 22.55 7
9 10 STRATHBARRY 4.3% 23.46 4
10 11 WOODFIRE CHAMP 3.6% 28.16 10
11 14 GOLDEN WARSTEED 2.8% 36.00 8
12 5 SPARKLING DOLPHIN 2.6% 38.64 12
13 2 DIVINE SHINING 1.1% 87.14 9
14 6 BEAUTY UNITY 0.4% 225.82 11
MULTISUPERHONG KONG HALLWUNDERBAR — wonAMAZING ACEUNIVERSAL PURSUITPARENTS' LOVERUN RUN TIMINGSTERLING WONGCHOYSTRATHBARRYWOODFIRE CHAMPGOLDEN WARSTEEDSPARKLING DOLPHINDIVINE SHININGBEAUTY UNITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 105

PLACE

4 19.5

8 63

12 35.5

QUINELLA

4,12 281

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 251

4,12 104

8,12 511.5

FORECAST

12,4 662

TIERCE

12,4,8 15,417

TRIO

4,8,12 3,299

FIRST 4

4,8,10,12 38,557

QUARTET

12,4,8,10 476,939

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

2/4 55.5

2/12 956.5