Sha Tin · 2023-11-05 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GLOBAL HARMONY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with LADY'S CHOICE second and BEAUTY CRESCENT third. The 3.2 favourite GREENWICH finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GLOBAL HARMONY CP 1.09.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 10 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 10 | 4.5 | N |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | GREENWICH TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SWIFT ASCEND XB K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 2 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 8 | 74.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | NORTHERN BEACHES M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 7.8 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 53.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 6 | 21.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | BEER PALACE A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 1 | 108.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | MASTER STROKE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 177.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LADY'S CHOICE | 26.1% | 3.83 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | GREENWICH | 17.2% | 5.83 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | GLOBAL HARMONY | 10.5% | 9.53 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 9.2% | 10.82 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 9.0% | 11.07 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 7.9% | 12.73 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 4.9% | 20.36 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | SWIFT ASCEND | 4.4% | 22.73 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | BEER PALACE | 4.1% | 24.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.8% | 36.13 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.5% | 40.61 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | MASTER STROKE | 1.5% | 68.21 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 62.5
PLACE
1 19.5
5 20.5
10 16
QUINELLA
5,10 174
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 52
1,10 61.5
5,10 63.5
FORECAST
5,10 415
TIERCE
5,10,1 1,135
TRIO
1,5,10 142
FIRST 4
1,4,5,10 484
QUARTET
5,10,1,4 9,585
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
5/5 120
5/10 26.5