Sha Tin · 2023-11-05 · 06:35
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. WIDE BLUE YONDER, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with MASTER HERO second and AESTHETICISM third. The winner led throughout. The 2.9 favourite AESTHETICISM finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WIDE BLUE YONDER Wire to wire B/TT 1.34.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 35.0 | N |
| 2 | 7 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly CP/XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.2 | N |
| 3 | 10 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 4 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 13 | 54.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCKY ETERNITY CP M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | LOOKING COOL CP A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CASA COSMO Closed strongly CP/XB/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 8 | 59.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 11 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | ROYAL PRIDE TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 1 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 7 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | BULB PRINCE H/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 37.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 13 | RELIABLE PROFIT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | AESTHETICISM | 25.2% | 3.97 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 14.8% | 6.78 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | ROYAL PRIDE | 10.8% | 9.23 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 8.8% | 11.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | MASTER HERO | 8.7% | 11.53 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | LOOKING COOL | 5.4% | 18.45 | 6 |
| 7 | 14 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 5.2% | 19.11 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 5.1% | 19.57 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 4.3% | 23.18 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | CASA COSMO | 3.2% | 31.13 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | NOBLE WIN | 3.1% | 32.21 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | BULB PRINCE | 2.9% | 34.44 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 2.5% | 39.78 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 352.5
PLACE
4 62.5
7 16
10 15
QUINELLA
4,7 577
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 135
4,10 154
7,10 29
FORECAST
4,7 1,725
TIERCE
4,7,10 7,773
TRIO
4,7,10 522
FIRST 4
4,7,10,11 4,776
QUARTET
4,7,10,11 168,769
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,12/4>7,10,13 163,931
3RD DOUBLE
12/4 4,120
12/7 131