沙田 · 2023-11-05 · 07:35
第 6場
2023-11-05沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WINNING DATA勝出，贏出1-1/4。ARIEL獲得亞軍；CHAMPION INSTINCT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門TOP TOP TEA跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | WINNING DATA 後段發力 B 1.22.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | ARIEL 後段發力 CP/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | CHAMPION INSTINCT 後段發力 B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | PERFECT PEACH 後段發力 B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 35.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | MR ALADDIN B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | DREAM PURSUER 後段發力 CP1 B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 14 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER WISE DRAGON 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | DIVINE ERA 後段發力 H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 7.9 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | TOP TOP TEA B-/TT1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 3.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | COMMANDING MISSILE B/H C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 7 | 29.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | CLUB SODA L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 9 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | KILLER INSTINCT 後段發力 V/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | DRAGON PRIDE V A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 10 | 60.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | NATURAL GOLD 早段領放 B/XB/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.7 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOP TOP TEA | 21.9% | 4.56 | 9 |
| 2 | 10 | NATURAL GOLD | 12.5% | 8.03 | 14 |
| 3 | 2 | ARIEL | 10.8% | 9.29 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 7.1% | 14.05 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | KILLER INSTINCT | 6.9% | 14.59 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | DIVINE ERA | 6.4% | 15.65 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 6.2% | 16.18 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | CLUB SODA | 5.0% | 19.89 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 5.0% | 19.89 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | WINNING DATA | 4.7% | 21.45 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | DREAM PURSUER | 4.3% | 23.31 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | DRAGON PRIDE | 4.0% | 25.09 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | PERFECT PEACH | 3.6% | 27.59 | 4 |
| 14 | 7 | MR ALADDIN | 1.7% | 58.73 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 119
PLACE
2 24.5
11 53
13 45.5
QUINELLA
2,13 515
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 227
2,13 156
11,13 453.5
FORECAST
13,2 1,118
TIERCE
13,2,11 18,073
TRIO
2,11,13 2,912
FIRST 4
2,11,13,14 15,530
QUARTET
13,2,11,14 278,791
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,10/2,11,13 259,475
5TH DOUBLE
7/2 47.5
7/13 553.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4>7,10,13/1,7,10/2,11,13 7,957,822
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4>7,10,13/1,7,10/Any Combination 33,728