跑馬地 · 2023-11-22 · 12:45
第 4場
2023-11-22跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、J Richards訓練的HAPPY UNITED勝出，贏出1/2。OVERSUBSCRIBED獲得亞軍；GORGEOUS VITALITY獲得季軍。5.1倍大熱門CIRCUIT SEVEN跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY UNITED P/TT 0.57.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 11 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 6 | 7.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | GORGEOUS VITALITY CP L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 12 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ACE TALENT H/PC/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | DIAMOND SOARS TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | CALL ME MIGHTY H/B2/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 146.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 5.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 10 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | PROSPEROUS SMILE CP1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 5.4 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DIAMOND SOARS | 13.6% | 7.33 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 13.4% | 7.48 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 11.9% | 8.41 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | PROSPEROUS SMILE | 11.4% | 8.78 | 12 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY UNITED | 11.2% | 8.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 8.1% | 12.30 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 7.7% | 12.94 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | ACE TALENT | 7.5% | 13.34 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 5.5% | 18.27 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 5.1% | 19.62 | 2 |
| 11 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE | 4.0% | 24.85 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | CALL ME MIGHTY | 0.5% | 185.47 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 60.5
PLACE
2 52
3 23.5
10 20.5
QUINELLA
3,10 232.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 184.5
2,10 274
3,10 82
FORECAST
3,10 445
TIERCE
3,10,2 7,306
TRIO
2,3,10 1,563
FIRST 4
2,3,9,10 3,965
QUARTET
3,10,2,9 70,848
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,11/2,3,10 139,563
3RD DOUBLE
8/3 163.5
8/10 37