跑馬地 · 2023-11-22 · 11:15
第 1場
2023-11-22跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、J Richards訓練的ERNEST FEELING勝出，贏出2-1/4。HAPPY TANGO獲得亞軍；FIRE BALL獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門CHARMING STEED跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT 1.10.20 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 2 | 9.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | HAPPY TANGO B L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | FIRE BALL CP1 B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 6 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | FIGHTING STAR B K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 12 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CHARMING STEED H/P/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 4.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 9 | 7.7 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | BRILLIANT PIONEER A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | EASY TWO B/H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 40.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | MODEST GENTLEMAN TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 10 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 5.1 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MISTER ARM H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 26.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 19.1% | 5.22 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | CHARMING STEED | 14.8% | 6.74 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | NORDIC COMBINED | 10.4% | 9.62 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 9.3% | 10.79 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | DAY DAY RICH | 9.3% | 10.79 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | FIRE BALL | 7.5% | 13.25 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | ERNEST FEELING | 6.9% | 14.45 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 6.3% | 15.91 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | HAPPY TANGO | 5.5% | 18.03 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | MISTER ARM | 4.4% | 22.71 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | FIGHTING STAR | 3.4% | 29.52 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | EASY TWO | 3.0% | 33.25 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 93.5
PLACE
1 29
6 30.5
7 35.5
QUINELLA
1,7 606.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 130
1,7 207
6,7 155.5
FORECAST
1,7 1,118
TIERCE
1,7,6 9,336
TRIO
1,6,7 1,609
FIRST 4
1,6,7,9 7,944
QUARTET
1,7,6,9 157,902