跑馬地 · 2023-11-22 · 13:15
第 5場
2023-11-22跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、D A Hayes訓練的SAMARKAND勝出，贏出1/2。KILLER INSTINCT獲得亞軍；STURDY RUBY獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.7倍大熱門DURHAM STAR跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SAMARKAND 一路領先 CP/TT 1.41.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 2 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | KILLER INSTINCT 後段發力 V-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | STURDY RUBY TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | KYRUS UNICORN 後段發力 B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | PEGASUS GENERAL 後段發力 V K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ASIAN ONE PC-/XB/V2/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE 後段發力 B/XB K De Melo · M Newnham | K De Melo | M Newnham | 9 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | DURHAM STAR SR/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 5 | 2.7 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | WIN WIN FIGHTER B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 7.2 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPER ELITE H/XB A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | RUNNING AHEAD CP1/TT- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 33.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DURHAM STAR | 23.0% | 4.34 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | KILLER INSTINCT | 10.0% | 10.03 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 9.5% | 10.56 | 9 |
| 4 | 10 | KYRUS UNICORN | 8.2% | 12.15 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 8.2% | 12.23 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER ELITE | 7.1% | 14.17 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | STURDY RUBY | 6.7% | 14.87 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | ASIAN ONE | 6.6% | 15.11 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 6.1% | 16.45 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | SAMARKAND | 5.8% | 17.14 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | RUNNING AHEAD | 4.5% | 21.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 4.3% | 23.43 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 143
PLACE
4 32
5 26.5
7 38.5
QUINELLA
4,7 627
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 155.5
4,7 203.5
5,7 233
FORECAST
7,4 1,425
TIERCE
7,4,5 12,828
TRIO
4,5,7 2,099
FIRST 4
4,5,7,10 8,990
QUARTET
7,4,5,10 235,708
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
8/3/4 265
8/3/7 5,854
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 107
3/7 1,422