沙田 · 2023-11-26 · 05:50
第 3場
2023-11-26沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由A Badel策騎、D J Hall訓練的ACA POWER勝出，贏出1。DAILY TROPHY獲得亞軍；LEAN MASTER獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門MULTISUPER跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ACA POWER CP 1.09.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | DAILY TROPHY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | LEAN MASTER B1/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 1 | 61.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | COOL BLUE CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | TOGEPI B/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 9 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MULTISUPER B J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MORE RICE C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 11 | 26.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | DIAMOND FLARE M L Yeung · M Newnham | M L Yeung | M Newnham | 6 | 17.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | RED DESERT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 4.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 11.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | SMART FOLKS B/SR A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 19.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BRAVE WITNESS L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MULTISUPER | 17.8% | 5.63 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | RED DESERT | 14.7% | 6.78 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | COOL BLUE | 10.0% | 10.01 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | MAGIC SUPREME | 9.8% | 10.20 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 8.0% | 12.56 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | SMART FOLKS | 7.7% | 12.91 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | MORE RICE | 7.0% | 14.25 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | DAILY TROPHY | 6.6% | 15.25 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | TOGEPI | 5.3% | 19.04 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | ACA POWER | 5.0% | 20.13 | 1 |
| 11 | 8 | LEAN MASTER | 5.0% | 20.19 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | DIAMOND FLARE | 3.2% | 30.85 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 162.5
PLACE
8 143.5
11 27.5
12 41.5
QUINELLA
11,12 1,068.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 775
8,12 802.5
11,12 243.5
FORECAST
12,11 1,666
TIERCE
12,11,8 75,756
TRIO
8,11,12 14,262
FIRST 4
6,8,11,12 13,742
QUARTET
12,11,8,6 298,291
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2,11/11 26.5
2,11/12 502.5