沙田 · 2023-11-26 · 07:25
第 5場
2023-11-26沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的MISTER DAPPER勝出，贏出3/4。LUCKY ETERNITY獲得亞軍；JOYFUL PROSPERITY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門MASTER HERO跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MISTER DAPPER 後段發力 H/SR/XB 1.34.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY ETERNITY 早段領放 CP M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 13 | 7.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY 後段發力 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | WINNING STEPS 後段發力 H/PC Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 6 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | CHATEAU A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | SHARPEN BRIGHT 後段發力 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 5 | 5.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | MASTER HERO CP/XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.4 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER WISE DRAGON TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | CASA COSMO CP/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 14 | 66.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | IMPERIAL MAGEE SR/XB/TT J McDonald · K H Ting | J McDonald | K H Ting | 9 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | NINJA DERBY H/XB L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 67.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 11 | 53.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 8 | DELAGO PATROL M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MISTER DAPPER | 17.9% | 5.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MASTER HERO | 15.1% | 6.62 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 12.7% | 7.88 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 10.9% | 9.15 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 8.4% | 11.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | WINNING STEPS | 7.1% | 14.15 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 6.6% | 15.16 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 6.2% | 16.17 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 4.8% | 20.70 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | CASA COSMO | 3.3% | 29.88 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | CHATEAU | 3.1% | 32.51 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 2.9% | 34.75 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | NINJA DERBY | 1.0% | 102.11 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 57.5
PLACE
7 26
10 22
13 37
QUINELLA
7,10 243.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 89.5
7,13 155
10,13 117
FORECAST
10,7 464
TIERCE
10,7,13 4,662
TRIO
7,10,13 1,059
FIRST 4
1,7,10,13 4,726
QUARTET
10,7,13,1 88,524
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
12/9/7 7,730
12/9/10 37,902
4TH DOUBLE
9/7 263.5
9/10 1,101