沙田 · 2023-11-26 · 05:20
第 2場
2023-11-26沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J McDonald策騎、J Size訓練的WUNDERBAR勝出，贏出3/4。FLYING DRAGON獲得亞軍；GANGNAM STAR獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WUNDERBAR 0.57.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 4 | 1.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | FLYING DRAGON B-/XB K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | GANGNAM STAR TT1 M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 14 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | LOYAL BO BO Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 2.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | NEW POWER H1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 13 | 111.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | GUSTY FIGHTER TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 9 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | VALIANT ELEGANCE V-/SR2/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 5 | 53.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | JOY FOR YOU B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 158.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | HAYDAY TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 3 | 99.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 53.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | GOLDEN CHAMPION CP1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 203.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | ISLAND BRIGHT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 90.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | GRAND CONQUEROR L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 54.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | BELLE HEART C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
| — | 11 | LUCKY QUALITY C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LOYAL BO BO | 29.9% | 3.35 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | WUNDERBAR | 28.9% | 3.46 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | GANGNAM STAR | 8.2% | 12.26 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | FLYING DRAGON | 6.5% | 15.34 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | GRAND CONQUEROR | 6.1% | 16.37 | 13 |
| 6 | 3 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 5.3% | 18.82 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | GUSTY FIGHTER | 4.0% | 25.15 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | HAYDAY | 3.9% | 25.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | NEW POWER | 2.4% | 41.11 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH | 1.8% | 55.71 | 10 |
| 11 | 14 | JOY FOR YOU | 1.2% | 84.09 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | ISLAND BRIGHT | 1.2% | 86.13 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | GOLDEN CHAMPION | 0.7% | 146.13 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 16.5
PLACE
1 22.5
2 11
4 26.5
QUINELLA
1,2 74
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 30.5
1,4 127.5
2,4 35
FORECAST
2,1 120
TIERCE
2,1,4 585
TRIO
1,2,4 217
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 88
QUARTET
2,1,4,7 1,527
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/1 103
10/2,11 125.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,13/1,4>2,11 33,971