沙田 · 2023-12-03 · 05:05
第 1場
2023-12-03沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、P C Ng訓練的STARSHIP EIGHTY勝出，贏出SH。PRECISION GOAL獲得亞軍；BOOM ALLIANCE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | STARSHIP EIGHTY 後段發力 B-/PC1/TT 1.39.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 3.1 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | PRECISION GOAL 早段領放 TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 8.9 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | BOOM ALLIANCE 後段發力 SR/XB/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | GREEN LASER 後段發力 B/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | DEVIL AND GOLD 後段發力 E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 45.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | STAR OF GLORY P Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 8 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER CONTENTED 後段發力 TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 14 | 108.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | CHIRON 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 12 | 27.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | FIERY FLYING TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | JUST GREAT TWO L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 3 | 56.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | DIAMOND FOREVER L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 8.7 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM H/XB/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 33.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | GENERAL WINNER V/XB/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 5 | 16.0 | 17 |
| 14 | 9 | SPICY SKEWER B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 13 | 71.0 | 25-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FIERY FLYING | 23.1% | 4.34 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 19.0% | 5.26 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 10.5% | 9.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | GENERAL WINNER | 9.8% | 10.22 | 13 |
| 5 | 13 | GREEN LASER | 7.1% | 14.18 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | PRECISION GOAL | 5.8% | 17.19 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 4.8% | 20.80 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | DIAMOND FOREVER | 4.2% | 23.92 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | CHIRON | 4.1% | 24.52 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | STAR OF GLORY | 3.3% | 30.09 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 2.8% | 36.33 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | SPICY SKEWER | 2.1% | 48.43 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | SUPER CONTENTED | 2.0% | 49.63 | 7 |
| 14 | 14 | JUST GREAT TWO | 1.5% | 66.78 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 31.5
PLACE
1 18
7 31
11 14
QUINELLA
7,11 148
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 93.5
1,11 36
7,11 60.5
FORECAST
11,7 266
TIERCE
11,7,1 1,354
TRIO
1,7,11 271
FIRST 4
1,7,11,13 401
QUARTET
11,7,1,13 8,152