沙田 · 2023-12-03 · 06:05
第 3場
2023-12-03沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的ALL ARE MINE勝出，贏出N。BLISSFUL STAR獲得亞軍；NORDIC STAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門MISSION BRAVO跑獲第14名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ALL ARE MINE 後段發力 H/TT 1.49.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.6 | N |
| 2 | 9 | BLISSFUL STAR 後段發力 V-/B1/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 66.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | NORDIC STAR 後段發力 TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 後段發力 B-/XB L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 8 | 9.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 V-/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 54.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 14 | M M NEBULA CP/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 5 | 7.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | PAKISTAN FRIEND 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 9 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | AMAZING TEENS H/P2/TT J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 14 | 7.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | NINJA DERBY H-/XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 89.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | HARRY'S HERO 後段發力 H/XB K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 13 | 42.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 後段發力 CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 32.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | LUCKY BANNER H/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 2 | 7.5 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | AFFIRM TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 18.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 5 | MISSION BRAVO 早段領放 B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 4.2 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MISSION BRAVO | 20.5% | 4.88 | 14 |
| 2 | 13 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 11.8% | 8.45 | 11 |
| 3 | 14 | M M NEBULA | 11.8% | 8.47 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY BANNER | 9.1% | 11.04 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | ALL ARE MINE | 7.9% | 12.73 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 6.9% | 14.58 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | AMAZING TEENS | 6.4% | 15.67 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 6.0% | 16.59 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | NORDIC STAR | 4.8% | 20.90 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | AFFIRM | 4.4% | 22.49 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | BLISSFUL STAR | 4.0% | 25.30 | 2 |
| 12 | 4 | CAN'T GO WONG | 3.6% | 27.65 | 5 |
| 13 | 11 | NINJA DERBY | 1.5% | 67.10 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | HARRY'S HERO | 1.4% | 71.54 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 66
PLACE
2 23.5
9 176.5
10 25
QUINELLA
9,10 3,209
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 886.5
2,10 93.5
9,10 833.5
FORECAST
10,9 4,096
TIERCE
10,9,2 40,246
TRIO
2,9,10 5,757
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 7,181
QUARTET
10,9,2,8 181,418
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
3/9 1,531.5
3/10 1,951