沙田 · 2023-12-03 · 08:40
第 8場
2023-12-03沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、D J Hall訓練的SUMMIT CHEERS勝出，贏出N。FLYING HIGH獲得亞軍；LUCKY GOR獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門NORTHERN BEACHES跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT 0.57.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 8.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY GOR B-/E/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 7 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 13 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | NORTHERN BEACHES Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SPEED SWORD TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | ONLY U TT1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 134.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | ACE ONE B/SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 5 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | METRO WARRIOR B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | MUST GO L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL PC L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 12 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPERB KID K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 10 | 81.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | SPARKLING KNIGHT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 21.3% | 4.70 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | SPEED SWORD | 11.0% | 9.10 | 6 |
| 3 | 13 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 9.2% | 10.83 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 9.2% | 10.86 | 13 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY GOR | 8.6% | 11.62 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | METRO WARRIOR | 7.2% | 13.96 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING HIGH | 6.8% | 14.66 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 6.3% | 15.77 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | ACE ONE | 4.2% | 23.87 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPERB KID | 4.2% | 24.04 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | ONLY U | 4.1% | 24.30 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL | 4.0% | 24.72 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | MUST GO | 3.8% | 26.08 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 85
PLACE
1 38
7 33.5
13 25.5
QUINELLA
1,13 580.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 278
1,13 174.5
7,13 120
FORECAST
13,1 1,152
TIERCE
13,1,7 16,874
TRIO
1,7,13 2,500
FIRST 4
1,2,7,13 6,161
QUARTET
13,1,7,2 146,003
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,8/1,7,13 751,243
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 106.5
5/13 863.5