Sha Tin · 2023-12-03 · 08:40
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-03 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SUMMIT CHEERS, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with FLYING HIGH second and LUCKY GOR third. The 2.8 favourite NORTHERN BEACHES finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT 0.57.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 8.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY GOR B-/E/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 7 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 13 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | NORTHERN BEACHES Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SPEED SWORD TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | ONLY U TT1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 134.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | ACE ONE B/SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 5 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | METRO WARRIOR B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | MUST GO L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL PC L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 12 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPERB KID K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 10 | 81.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | SPARKLING KNIGHT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 21.3% | 4.70 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | SPEED SWORD | 11.0% | 9.10 | 6 |
| 3 | 13 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 9.2% | 10.83 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 9.2% | 10.86 | 13 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY GOR | 8.6% | 11.62 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | METRO WARRIOR | 7.2% | 13.96 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING HIGH | 6.8% | 14.66 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 6.3% | 15.77 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | ACE ONE | 4.2% | 23.87 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPERB KID | 4.2% | 24.04 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | ONLY U | 4.1% | 24.30 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL | 4.0% | 24.72 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | MUST GO | 3.8% | 26.08 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 85
PLACE
1 38
7 33.5
13 25.5
QUINELLA
1,13 580.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 278
1,13 174.5
7,13 120
FORECAST
13,1 1,152
TIERCE
13,1,7 16,874
TRIO
1,7,13 2,500
FIRST 4
1,2,7,13 6,161
QUARTET
13,1,7,2 146,003
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,8/1,7,13 751,243
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 106.5
5/13 863.5