Sha Tin · 2023-12-03 · 07:40
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-03 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. PING HAI GALAXY, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by SH, with FLYING ACE second and PACKING TREADMILL third. The 2.8 favourite YOUTHFUL DEAL finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PING HAI GALAXY 1.08.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 25.0 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING ACE B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 3.5 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | PACKING TREADMILL SR L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | XPONENTIAL B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | MAJESTIC STAR TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 1 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | KURPANY B-/P1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 9 | 8.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | TRUE LEGEND B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 112.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 27 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FLYING ACE | 26.7% | 3.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | MAJESTIC STAR | 13.7% | 7.30 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 12.5% | 8.03 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | XPONENTIAL | 10.4% | 9.62 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | PACKING TREADMILL | 10.0% | 10.04 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | KURPANY | 9.1% | 10.94 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 7.7% | 12.97 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | CAMPIONE | 5.3% | 18.97 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | PING HAI GALAXY | 2.8% | 35.46 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | TRUE LEGEND | 1.8% | 54.29 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 252.5
PLACE
2 27.5
4 13
6 51.5
QUINELLA
4,6 463
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 52
2,6 297
4,6 158.5
FORECAST
6,4 1,158
TIERCE
6,4,2 9,951
TRIO
2,4,6 1,279
FIRST 4
2,4,6,10 2,152
QUARTET
6,4,2,10 64,109
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,12/2,4,6 452,119
5TH DOUBLE
8/4 232
8/6 2,849.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,6,12/4,8,12/Any Combination 11,980