Sha Tin · 2023-12-03 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-03 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. STRIVE FOR GLORY, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with SUPER JOY second and MIRACLES third. The 2.7 favourite ALL IS READY finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT 1.09.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER JOY B/XB1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 47.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | MIRACLES B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CHARMING STEED H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 8.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | ALL IS READY B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 5 | 2.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO B L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 11 | 9.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | NOBLE ONE A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 12 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | AUGUST MOON B-/PC1/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 4 | 46.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | CALL ME TEDDY B-/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 28.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 31.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | MASTER OF ALL TT Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 3 | 46.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | LUCKY FUN B/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 8.5 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MIRACLES | 20.1% | 4.98 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | CHARMING STEED | 16.1% | 6.23 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | ALL IS READY | 10.7% | 9.33 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 9.6% | 10.40 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY FUN | 9.5% | 10.49 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | NOBLE ONE | 8.2% | 12.15 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | AUGUST MOON | 6.3% | 15.98 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO | 5.3% | 18.77 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 5.3% | 19.04 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER JOY | 3.2% | 31.20 | 2 |
| 11 | 2 | MASTER OF ALL | 3.1% | 32.15 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | CALL ME TEDDY | 2.6% | 38.28 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 248
PLACE
3 52.5
7 17
11 88.5
QUINELLA
3,11 4,237.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 163.5
3,11 992.5
7,11 235.5
FORECAST
3,11 8,347
TIERCE
3,11,7 55,262
TRIO
3,7,11 5,275
FIRST 4
3,5,7,11 8,853
QUARTET
3,11,7,5 402,818
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/3 772.5
11/11 447
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/3,7,11 269,580