Sha Tin · 2023-12-03 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PINS PRINCE Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.22.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 6.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MIDORI BURLY Closed strongly XB1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 63.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | AWESOME FLUKE Closed strongly TT1 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 43.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly H J McDonald · D J Whyte | J McDonald | D J Whyte | 12 | 2.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | RATTAN KINGDOM Closed strongly B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 4 | 7.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 53.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PARTERRE B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 49.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 2 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN SAMURAI Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 8.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 13 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNER METHOD Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER TEN XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 86.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLDEN DARCI Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 75.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | BRILLIANT WAY SR/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 27.0 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-03 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PINS PRINCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1, with MIDORI BURLY second and AWESOME FLUKE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite BLUE MARLIN finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PINS PRINCE | 20.2% | 4.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN SAMURAI | 19.1% | 5.25 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN | 14.5% | 6.91 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION | 10.3% | 9.73 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 5.8% | 17.30 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON | 5.6% | 17.97 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | AWESOME FLUKE | 4.7% | 21.18 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | BRILLIANT WAY | 4.3% | 23.52 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | PARTERRE | 3.5% | 28.94 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNER METHOD | 3.2% | 31.66 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN DARCI | 2.9% | 34.67 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | SETANTA | 2.6% | 38.15 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | MIDORI BURLY | 2.4% | 41.91 | 2 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER TEN | 1.2% | 86.56 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 60
PLACE
1 98
10 136.5
11 21
QUINELLA
10,11 1,769
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 1,590.5
1,11 317
10,11 491
FORECAST
11,10 3,138
TIERCE
11,10,1 39,130
TRIO
1,10,11 13,740
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 7,837
QUARTET
11,10,1,4 252,335
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
13/2/10 3,945
13/2/11 3,173
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,10/1,10,11 1,169,951
9TH DOUBLE
2/10 304.5
2/11 410
SIX UP
8/6/5/13/2/11 4,745,551
8,12/4,6/5,6/1,13/2,9/10,11 449,202
2 [K W Lui] —
1 [Z Purton] —