Sha Tin · 2023-12-03 · 08:10
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-03 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. YELLOWFIN, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by 3-1/4, with SO WE JOY second and KIMBERLEY third. The winner led throughout. The 3.5 favourite ADEFILL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YELLOWFIN Wire to wire XB 1.38.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 8.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 1 | 5.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | KIMBERLEY Closed strongly B-/PC1/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 2 | 45.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | ADEFILL Closed strongly B J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 11 | 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 6.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | FIERY DIAMOND C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 5.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 8.2 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | RED ACLAIM Closed strongly P1/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 15.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SOLAR GOGO K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 3 | 103.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | VIVA HUNTER B-/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 20.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 41.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YELLOWFIN | 33.7% | 2.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ADEFILL | 15.3% | 6.52 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | FIERY DIAMOND | 12.8% | 7.79 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | SO WE JOY | 10.4% | 9.66 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 8.9% | 11.19 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | PERFECT TEAM | 6.7% | 14.96 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | RED ACLAIM | 4.7% | 21.17 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | VIVA HUNTER | 4.3% | 23.02 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | LOVERO | 1.2% | 86.03 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | KIMBERLEY | 1.0% | 100.19 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | SOLAR GOGO | 0.9% | 106.98 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 89
PLACE
5 27.5
6 22
8 118
QUINELLA
5,6 300.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 104.5
5,8 590
6,8 519
FORECAST
5,6 583
TIERCE
5,6,8 16,618
TRIO
5,6,8 4,180
FIRST 4
4,5,6,8 3,325
QUARTET
5,6,8,4 104,025
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
6/5 2,172
6/6 273.5