Sha Tin · 2023-12-03 · 09:15
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-03 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HOLY LAKE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with GOLDEN BULL second and RIVER VIEWS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite MEEPMEEP finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HOLY LAKE Closed strongly B/XB 1.22.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 5.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | GOLDEN BULL Closed strongly XB/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | RIVER VIEWS E C W Wong · T P Yung | E C W Wong | T P Yung | 3 | 7.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | FREE FOAL Closed strongly V K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 39.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | IMPERIAL MAGEE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 4 | 37.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | YEABOI Closed strongly B2/TT K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 8 | 151.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MEEPMEEP Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 2.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | KA YING CHEER Led early CP-/B1 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 12 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | CHILLI BABA B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 9 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | DREAM PURSUER Closed strongly CP-/B1 J McDonald · K L Man | J McDonald | K L Man | 11 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 44.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | DRAGON DELIGHT B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 34.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 14 | 101.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | KING OF THE COURT B- L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 50.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MEEPMEEP | 23.3% | 4.29 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | HOLY LAKE | 14.7% | 6.79 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | KA YING CHEER | 14.2% | 7.04 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | RIVER VIEWS | 9.3% | 10.71 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | CHILLI BABA | 6.1% | 16.27 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | GOLDEN BULL | 5.0% | 20.03 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | FREE FOAL | 4.8% | 20.73 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | KING OF THE COURT | 4.8% | 20.77 | 14 |
| 9 | 13 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 4.7% | 21.45 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | DREAM PURSUER | 4.6% | 21.59 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 3.8% | 26.51 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | PERFECT PEACH | 2.5% | 39.67 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | YEABOI | 1.1% | 90.95 | 6 |
| 14 | 7 | FOREVER FOLKS | 1.0% | 103.00 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 50
PLACE
2 17.5
9 27
10 24
QUINELLA
2,9 345.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 121
2,10 57
9,10 174.5
FORECAST
2,9 658
TIERCE
2,9,10 4,450
TRIO
2,9,10 1,031
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 5,754
QUARTET
2,9,10,8 100,510
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
13/2 474.5
13/9 481