Sha Tin · 2023-12-03 · 14:02
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/TT 1.49.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly V-/B1/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 66.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | NORDIC STAR Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B-/XB L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 8 | 9.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly V-/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 54.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | M M NEBULA CP/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 5 | 7.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 9 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS H/P2/TT J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 14 | 7.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | NINJA DERBY H-/XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 89.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H/XB K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 13 | 42.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 32.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER H/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 2 | 7.5 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | AFFIRM TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 18.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO Led early B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 4.2 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-12-03 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ALL ARE MINE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with BLISSFUL STAR second and NORDIC STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite MISSION BRAVO finished 14th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MISSION BRAVO | 20.5% | 4.88 | 14 |
| 2 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 11.8% | 8.45 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | M M NEBULA | 11.8% | 8.47 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER | 9.1% | 11.04 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL ARE MINE | 7.9% | 12.73 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 6.9% | 14.58 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 6.4% | 15.67 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 6.0% | 16.59 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | NORDIC STAR | 4.8% | 20.90 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | AFFIRM | 4.4% | 22.49 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR | 4.0% | 25.30 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG | 3.6% | 27.65 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | NINJA DERBY | 1.5% | 67.10 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | HARRY'S HERO | 1.4% | 71.54 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 66
PLACE
2 23.5
9 176.5
10 25
QUINELLA
9,10 3,209
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 886.5
2,10 93.5
9,10 833.5
FORECAST
10,9 4,096
TIERCE
10,9,2 40,246
TRIO
2,9,10 5,757
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 7,181
QUARTET
10,9,2,8 181,418
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/9 1,531.5
3/10 1,951