跑馬地 · 2023-12-06 · 12:15
第 4場
2023-12-06跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由R King策騎、D J Hall訓練的OVERSUBSCRIBED勝出，贏出3/4。HARMONY FIRE獲得亞軍；DIAMOND SOARS獲得季軍。4.9倍大熱門GALVANIC跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB 0.57.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R King · D J Hall | R King | D J Hall | 5 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | DIAMOND SOARS TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPER FAST DRAGON CP-/XB/B1/TT Y Kawada · J Richards | Y Kawada | J Richards | 8 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 7.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | GALVANIC PC/TT T Marquand · C Fownes | T Marquand | C Fownes | 3 | 4.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GORGEOUS VITALITY CP B Murzabayev · F C Lor | B Murzabayev | F C Lor | 2 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | G ONE EXCELLENT B/TT M Barzalona · C S Shum | M Barzalona | C S Shum | 9 | 49.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | RED MAVERICK R Moore · Y S Tsui | R Moore | Y S Tsui | 11 | 85.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT H Doyle · A S Cruz | H Doyle | A S Cruz | 10 | 13.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | AMAZING ACE B2/TT J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 6 | 11.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GALVANIC | 21.0% | 4.75 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 16.6% | 6.03 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 11.2% | 8.90 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | DIAMOND SOARS | 9.0% | 11.06 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 7.5% | 13.37 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING ACE | 7.3% | 13.74 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 7.1% | 14.11 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 6.9% | 14.43 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER COMMANDER | 6.8% | 14.66 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE | 3.2% | 31.52 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 2.1% | 48.37 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | RED MAVERICK | 1.3% | 79.59 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 105.5
PLACE
3 68
9 27.5
11 23
QUINELLA
3,11 1,197
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 289.5
3,11 310.5
9,11 152
FORECAST
11,3 2,513
TIERCE
11,3,9 20,890
TRIO
3,9,11 3,211
FIRST 4
3,9,11,12 4,318
QUARTET
11,3,9,12 165,042
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
10/3 301
10/11 1,097.5