跑馬地 · 2023-12-06 · 13:20
第 6場
2023-12-06跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P C Ng訓練的HEALTHY HEALTHY勝出，贏出SH。ERNEST FEELING獲得亞軍；LYRICAL MOTION獲得季軍。頭馬以5.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HEALTHY HEALTHY TT 1.10.32 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 11 | 5.7 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 6 | 8.2 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | LYRICAL MOTION B1/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | KILINDINI H/TT M Barzalona · W K Mo | M Barzalona | W K Mo | 2 | 6.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | PARTY WARRIOR C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | PRINCE CHISWICK XB T Marquand · P F Yiu | T Marquand | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY TRIO B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | GOLDEN RISE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SIGHT HERO BO/TT J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 10 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | DIAMOND DIAMOND H Doyle · T P Yung | H Doyle | T P Yung | 3 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 9 | 23.0 | 36 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 14.3% | 6.99 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY TRIO | 12.7% | 7.85 | 7 |
| 3 | 12 | LYRICAL MOTION | 10.0% | 10.00 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | PARTY WARRIOR | 9.1% | 10.97 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 8.3% | 12.06 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | ERNEST FEELING | 7.6% | 13.13 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | WOOD ON FIRE | 7.6% | 13.17 | 12 |
| 8 | 1 | SIGHT HERO | 7.3% | 13.67 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | PRINCE CHISWICK | 7.2% | 13.86 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | KILINDINI | 5.9% | 16.85 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | GOLDEN RISE | 5.8% | 17.19 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME | 4.0% | 24.72 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 57.5
PLACE
6 21
9 29
12 28.5
QUINELLA
6,9 323.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 129
6,12 122
9,12 117
FORECAST
6,9 577
TIERCE
6,9,12 4,720
TRIO
6,9,12 1,022
FIRST 4
3,6,9,12 843
QUARTET
6,9,12,3 19,431
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
4/6 345.5
4/9 24.5