跑馬地 · 2023-12-06 · 15:00
第 9場
2023-12-06跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由J McDonald策騎、C S Shum訓練的HELENE FEELING勝出，贏出1/2。BUTTERFIELD獲得亞軍；THE BEST PEACH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HELENE FEELING 後段發力 CP/TT 1.49.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 6 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | BUTTERFIELD 後段發力 CP/TT T Marquand · C S Shum | T Marquand | C S Shum | 12 | 27.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | THE BEST PEACH 後段發力 TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | NEARLY FINE 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 5 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND 後段發力 B/XB B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 1 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | HAMERON B1 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 10 | 9.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SPIRITED EXPRESS 後段發力 B/TT1 H Doyle · P F Yiu | H Doyle | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | COLUMBUS COUNTY V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | LOOKING GREAT TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 57.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | BOURBONAIRE H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 早段領放 B M Barzalona · F C Lor | M Barzalona | F C Lor | 3 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 6.3 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HELENE FEELING | 22.5% | 4.45 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | THE BEST PEACH | 19.8% | 5.05 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | HAMERON | 10.0% | 10.04 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 7.8% | 12.89 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | RISING FROM ASHES | 7.5% | 13.31 | 12 |
| 6 | 2 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 6.6% | 15.10 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 6.6% | 15.15 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 5.0% | 19.83 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | NEARLY FINE | 4.6% | 21.57 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | BUTTERFIELD | 3.7% | 27.04 | 2 |
| 11 | 12 | LOOKING GREAT | 3.1% | 31.95 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | BOURBONAIRE | 2.8% | 36.17 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 24
PLACE
6 12.5
7 24
9 55.5
QUINELLA
6,9 319.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 37
6,9 114
7,9 237
FORECAST
6,9 418
TIERCE
6,9,7 2,678
TRIO
6,7,9 572
FIRST 4
6,7,9,11 1,966
QUARTET
6,9,7,11 28,488
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
8/5/6 1,653
8/5/9 5,606
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,11/6,7,9 36,439
8TH DOUBLE
5/6 212
5/9 525.5
SIX UP
3,11/4,5/6,9/4,8/5,11/6,9 10,122
11/4/6/8/5/6 1,458,532
12 [C S Shum] —