沙田 · 2024-01-01 · 05:05
第 1場
2024-01-01沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由E C W Wong策騎、T P Yung訓練的EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS勝出，贏出1-1/2。CHAMPION INSTINCT獲得亞軍；HANDSOME BOMB獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT 1.09.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · T P Yung | E C W Wong | T P Yung | 1 | 2.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 6 | 8.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | HANDSOME BOMB TT1 J McDonald · W Y So | J McDonald | W Y So | 5 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | PANDA B K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 7.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PATCH OF TIME TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 8 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 7 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | GANGNAM STAR TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 9 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | CALIFORNIA ICON B1/TT1 A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 11 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | JOYFUL LIFE CP1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 8.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | THE GOOD DEAL SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | HINOKAMI KAGURA H-/B1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 10 | 92.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | SPICY GOLD L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 13 | 10.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 5 | HIGH RISE POWER B1 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 4 | 43.0 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 14.4% | 6.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | PANDA | 13.2% | 7.57 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | GOLDEN LUCK | 12.2% | 8.19 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | PATCH OF TIME | 11.3% | 8.83 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | HANDSOME BOMB | 9.6% | 10.42 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 9.4% | 10.64 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | GANGNAM STAR | 8.0% | 12.42 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 6.4% | 15.68 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | THE GOOD DEAL | 5.8% | 17.30 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | JOYFUL LIFE | 3.8% | 26.01 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | SPICY GOLD | 3.5% | 28.69 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | HIGH RISE POWER | 1.7% | 59.92 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 0.7% | 153.27 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 23.5
PLACE
1 12.5
4 62
13 20.5
QUINELLA
1,13 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 97
1,13 43.5
4,13 268
FORECAST
1,13 153
TIERCE
1,13,4 2,289
TRIO
1,4,13 636
FIRST 4
1,4,6,13 601
QUARTET
1,13,4,6 8,473