沙田 · 2024-01-01 · 09:20
第 9場
2024-01-01沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J McDonald策騎、J Size訓練的WUNDERBAR勝出，贏出NOSE。KA YING RISING獲得亞軍；MUGEN獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門MUGEN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WUNDERBAR 1.09.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 7 | 5.1 | NOSE |
| 2 | 13 | KA YING RISING Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 1 | MUGEN K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 2.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 14 | 82.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | PRINCE OF PORTY TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | SUPERB KID K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 6 | 110.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 8 | 49.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 70.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | JUMBO FORTUNE PC/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 3 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT E C W Wong · W Y So | E C W Wong | W Y So | 11 | 94.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | ACE VICTORY TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 10 | 256.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 12 | 108.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | ROBOT MASTER CP1/XB1/TT1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 167.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | BONUS PAL B K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 1 | 174.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | KA YING RISING | 50.1% | 2.00 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | MUGEN | 18.6% | 5.38 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | WUNDERBAR | 11.4% | 8.81 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 4.3% | 23.00 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 2.5% | 39.72 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 2.3% | 44.06 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUGAR SUGAR | 2.2% | 44.49 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | ROBOT MASTER | 2.2% | 45.31 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | READY TO WIN | 2.1% | 48.08 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE | 1.7% | 58.74 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | NOT USUAL STAR | 1.5% | 67.06 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | ACE VICTORY | 0.4% | 230.70 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | SUPERB KID | 0.4% | 250.49 | 6 |
| 14 | 9 | BONUS PAL | 0.3% | 375.96 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 51
PLACE
1 10.1
7 16
13 14
QUINELLA
7,13 54
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 22.5
1,13 17.5
7,13 21.5
FORECAST
7,13 132
TIERCE
7,13,1 275
TRIO
1,7,13 33
FIRST 4
1,4,7,13 288
QUARTET
7,13,1,4 4,977
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
4/7 133
4/13 12.5