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Sha Tin · 2024-01-01 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 WUNDERBAR 1.09.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · J Size 7 5.1 NOSE
2 0 KA YING RISING Z Purton · D A Hayes 2 2.6 NOSE
3 0 MUGEN K Teetan · P C Ng 5 2.3 3-1/2
4 0 COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz 14 82.0 4
5 0 PRINCE OF PORTY TT B Avdulla · D J Hall 9 13.0 5
6 0 SUPERB KID K De Melo · K W Lui 6 110.0 5-1/4
7 0 SUPER FORTUNE H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 8 49.0 5-3/4
8 0 SUGAR SUGAR B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 13 70.0 5-3/4
9 0 JUMBO FORTUNE PC/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng 3 26.0 7
10 0 NOT USUAL STAR H/TT E C W Wong · W Y So 11 94.0 7-1/4
11 0 ACE VICTORY TT A Hamelin · T P Yung 10 256.0 8
12 0 READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor 12 108.0 8-3/4
13 0 ROBOT MASTER CP1/XB1/TT1 A Atzeni · P C Ng 4 167.0 14-1/4
14 0 BONUS PAL B K C Leung · P C Ng 1 174.0 14-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WUNDERBAR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by J Size, won by NOSE, with KA YING RISING second and MUGEN third. The 2.3 favourite MUGEN finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WUNDERBAR—2. KA YING RISING+0.05L3. MUGEN+3.5L4. COLOURFUL EMPEROR+4L5. PRINCE OF PORTY+5L6. SUPERB KID+5.25L7. SUPER FORTUNE+5.75L8. SUGAR SUGAR+5.75L9. JUMBO FORTUNE+7L10. NOT USUAL STAR+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick KA YING RISING (50.1%) finished 2nd — the winner WUNDERBAR was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 KA YING RISING 50.1% 2.00 2
2 0 MUGEN 18.6% 5.38 3
3 0 WUNDERBAR 11.4% 8.81 1
4 0 JUMBO FORTUNE 4.3% 23.00 9
5 0 PRINCE OF PORTY 2.5% 39.72 5
6 0 COLOURFUL EMPEROR 2.3% 44.06 4
7 0 SUGAR SUGAR 2.2% 44.49 8
8 0 ROBOT MASTER 2.2% 45.31 13
9 0 READY TO WIN 2.1% 48.08 12
10 0 SUPER FORTUNE 1.7% 58.74 7
11 0 NOT USUAL STAR 1.5% 67.06 10
12 0 ACE VICTORY 0.4% 230.70 11
13 0 SUPERB KID 0.4% 250.49 6
14 0 BONUS PAL 0.3% 375.96 14
KA YING RISINGMUGENWUNDERBAR — wonJUMBO FORTUNEPRINCE OF PORTYCOLOURFUL EMPERORSUGAR SUGARROBOT MASTERREADY TO WINSUPER FORTUNENOT USUAL STARACE VICTORYSUPERB KIDBONUS PAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 51

PLACE

1 10.1

7 16

13 14

QUINELLA

7,13 54

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 22.5

1,13 17.5

7,13 21.5

FORECAST

7,13 132

TIERCE

7,13,1 275

TRIO

1,7,13 33

FIRST 4

1,4,7,13 288

QUARTET

7,13,1,4 4,977

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

4/7 133

4/13 12.5