Sha Tin · 2024-01-01 · 16:08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly 1.21.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY Closed strongly V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 76.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | RED LION K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 3.4 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-01 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TAJ DRAGON, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by 2, with HEALTHY HAPPY second and BEAUTY JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite CALIFORNIA SPANGLE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 21.5% | 4.65 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | RED LION | 20.2% | 4.95 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 16.2% | 6.18 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | TAJ DRAGON | 14.1% | 7.09 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 9.4% | 10.61 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 8.2% | 12.21 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 7.7% | 13.01 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 2.7% | 36.41 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 68
PLACE
2 14.5
3 32
8 17.5
QUINELLA
3,8 388
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 72.5
2,8 47
3,8 111.5
FORECAST
8,3 776
TIERCE
8,3,2 3,015
TRIO
2,3,8 505
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 1,217
QUARTET
8,3,2,5 32,814
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
3/3 75
3/8 338.5