Sha Tin · 2024-01-01 · 08:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GLOBAL HARMONY, ridden by J McDonald and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with SWEET ENCOUNTER second and LOST CHILD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GLOBAL HARMONY Closed strongly CP 1.22.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | LOST CHILD Closed strongly B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 13 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | HAPPY DAILY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly B-/XB/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 14 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | MIDORI BURLY Closed strongly XB Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.8 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | RAGNARR Led early TT- L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 89.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 9.6 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | I AM THE BOSS XB1 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 34.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS B1/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 53.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUGAR BALL CP/H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 175.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | MAJESTIC SPEED TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 214.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 12 | SAVVY CHIC CP/TT K De Melo · F C Lor | K De Melo | F C Lor | 9 | 99.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MIDORI BURLY | 31.4% | 3.18 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | GLOBAL HARMONY | 20.1% | 4.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 13.2% | 7.60 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 7.8% | 12.75 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 6.5% | 15.32 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | LOST CHILD | 4.8% | 20.73 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | I AM THE BOSS | 4.0% | 25.19 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | FLYING MOJITO | 3.4% | 29.05 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 2.8% | 35.33 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | SAVVY CHIC | 2.1% | 47.94 | 14 |
| 11 | 14 | HAPPY DAILY | 1.2% | 81.19 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUGAR BALL | 1.2% | 84.36 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | RAGNARR | 0.9% | 110.53 | 8 |
| 14 | 8 | MAJESTIC SPEED | 0.4% | 231.09 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 24
PLACE
3 28.5
4 14.5
11 30.5
QUINELLA
3,4 151
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 58.5
3,11 139
4,11 65
FORECAST
4,3 200
TIERCE
4,3,11 1,432
TRIO
3,4,11 428
FIRST 4
3,4,11,14 1,008
QUARTET
4,3,11,14 11,106
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/3,4,11 27,898
7TH DOUBLE
8/3 170.5
8/4 311