Sha Tin · 2024-01-01 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DREAM PURSUER Closed strongly B 1.23.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 6 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY PLANET Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLDEN RISE Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DIVINE ERA H/TT K De Melo · K H Ting | K De Melo | K H Ting | 2 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B1/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS E C W Wong · T P Yung | E C W Wong | T P Yung | 4 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | FUN N GLORY TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ISLAND BRIGHT Led early SR1 L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 3 | 83.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CHILLI BABA B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 10 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 18.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | UP AND UP TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 9 | 52.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SHINE BRIGHT B1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 103.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DREAM PURSUER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with LUCKY PLANET second and GOLDEN RISE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite GOLDEN RISE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS | 19.3% | 5.19 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | DIVINE ERA | 13.4% | 7.46 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | DREAM PURSUER | 13.2% | 7.57 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN RISE | 13.1% | 7.62 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY PLANET | 12.5% | 8.03 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CHILLI BABA | 7.0% | 14.35 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | FUN N GLORY | 5.8% | 17.37 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG | 5.7% | 17.45 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 3.8% | 26.43 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SHINE BRIGHT | 3.0% | 33.21 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | UP AND UP | 1.9% | 53.43 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | ISLAND BRIGHT | 1.4% | 70.69 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 144
PLACE
5 31.5
8 14.5
12 17.5
QUINELLA
5,12 313
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 77.5
5,12 99.5
8,12 39.5
FORECAST
5,12 680
TIERCE
5,12,8 2,849
TRIO
5,8,12 313
FIRST 4
5,7,8,12 509
QUARTET
5,12,8,7 16,518
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/11/5 4,261
1/11/12 460
4TH DOUBLE
11/5 807.5
11/12 96.5