沙田 · 2024-01-01 · 05:35
第 2場
2024-01-01沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的STORM RIDER勝出，贏出2-3/4。TELECOM DRAGON獲得亞軍；SPEEDY FORTUNE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STORM RIDER 1.09.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 1.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | TELECOM DRAGON TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 6 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SPEEDY FORTUNE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | HAPPY GOLF K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 32.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MULTIDARLING TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 4 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | MISTER FOX K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 3 | 34.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER ELITE H/XB/CP1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 43.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | GOLDEN CHAMPION CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 80.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | COMMANDING MISSILE H/B2 A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 2 | 25.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | KINGLY DEMEANOR B1/TT1 L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 11 | 72.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | COURIER MAGIC H/P/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 10 | 132.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STORM RIDER | 31.6% | 3.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | TELECOM DRAGON | 17.0% | 5.89 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 13.4% | 7.47 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 7.5% | 13.36 | 11 |
| 5 | 8 | MULTIDARLING | 6.8% | 14.80 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPER ELITE | 5.8% | 17.24 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | MISTER FOX | 4.5% | 22.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 4.3% | 23.10 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | HAPPY GOLF | 4.3% | 23.16 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 3.1% | 32.25 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | COURIER MAGIC | 1.0% | 98.59 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | GOLDEN CHAMPION | 0.8% | 131.23 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 18
PLACE
2 11.5
5 11.5
9 18.5
QUINELLA
2,5 33.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 17.5
2,9 31
5,9 28
FORECAST
5,2 62
TIERCE
5,2,9 185
TRIO
2,5,9 52
FIRST 4
2,5,9,12 333
QUARTET
5,2,9,12 3,386
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/2 12
1/5 80.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,13/2,5,9 3,999