沙田 · 2024-01-07 · 05:35
第 2場
2024-01-07沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、D J Hall訓練的HONG KONG HALL勝出，贏出1/2。SKY HEART獲得亞軍；PATCH OF THETA獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門PATCH OF THETA跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HONG KONG HALL TT 1.09.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | SKY HEART TT1 H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | LUCKY FIONN TT1 A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 12 | 86.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | SONIC BOOM XB/B1/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 2 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SILVER DESTINY K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | LOYAL BO BO SR1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 13 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | HIGH PERCENTAGE B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SIGHT HERO BO/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | AMAZINGTEAMWORK TT1 Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 4 | 126.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | BOWSER A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | PATCH OF KINGDOM M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 137.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | SHINING FORTUNE P-/XB/PC2 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 53.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 11 | WINDCHEATER L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HONG KONG HALL | 11.5% | 8.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA | 11.4% | 8.76 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | AMAZINGTEAMWORK | 11.2% | 8.92 | 10 |
| 4 | 12 | LOYAL BO BO | 10.9% | 9.14 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | SILVER DESTINY | 10.0% | 10.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | BOWSER | 8.8% | 11.41 | 11 |
| 7 | 13 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 8.5% | 11.77 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | SKY HEART | 7.4% | 13.50 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | SIGHT HERO | 6.0% | 16.66 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | SHINING FORTUNE | 4.1% | 24.44 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | SONIC BOOM | 3.7% | 26.98 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | LUCKY FIONN | 3.6% | 28.10 | 4 |
| 13 | 7 | PATCH OF KINGDOM | 3.0% | 33.83 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 50
PLACE
1 15.5
8 16.5
10 23
QUINELLA
1,10 185.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 32.5
1,10 81.5
8,10 62.5
FORECAST
1,10 324
TIERCE
1,10,8 1,686
TRIO
1,8,10 246
FIRST 4
1,6,8,10 2,729
QUARTET
1,10,8,6 56,343
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 354
5/10 238.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,10/10>1,8,11 5,649