沙田 · 2024-01-07 · 07:40
第 6場
2024-01-07沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由A Atzeni策騎、J Size訓練的FAST BUCK勝出，贏出2-3/4。DIAMOND FLARE獲得亞軍；COLOURFUL PRINCE獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門DIAMOND FLARE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FAST BUCK P-/PC1 1.08.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 12 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | DIAMOND FLARE B Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 6 | 2.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 2 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | REGENT GLORY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | DAILY TROPHY TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | PANDA LEGEND TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | BRAVE WITNESS TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 5 | 21.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | LEAN MASTER B/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 1 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | TELECOM SPEED M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 20.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH TT1 L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 67.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 1 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 10 | 14.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DIAMOND FLARE | 16.0% | 6.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | REGENT GLORY | 15.6% | 6.40 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 9.9% | 10.09 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | MAGIC SUPREME | 9.8% | 10.20 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | BRAVE WITNESS | 8.9% | 11.27 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | DAILY TROPHY | 8.0% | 12.45 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | FAST BUCK | 8.0% | 12.50 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | LEAN MASTER | 7.7% | 12.97 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | TELECOM SPEED | 6.8% | 14.75 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 4.7% | 21.40 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | PANDA LEGEND | 3.7% | 27.36 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH | 1.0% | 103.54 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 107.5
PLACE
3 35
4 18.5
6 31.5
QUINELLA
4,6 193
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 105.5
3,6 234
4,6 76.5
FORECAST
6,4 460
TIERCE
6,4,3 6,099
TRIO
3,4,6 1,039
FIRST 4
3,4,6,10 1,552
QUARTET
6,4,3,10 50,782
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/3,4,6 107,834
5TH DOUBLE
3/4 172
3/6 2,162.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
9,12,14/1,3,10/Any Combination 43,715