Sha Tin · 2024-01-07 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-07 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HONG KONG HALL, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with SKY HEART second and PATCH OF THETA third. The 3.5 favourite PATCH OF THETA finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HONG KONG HALL TT 1.09.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | SKY HEART TT1 H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | LUCKY FIONN TT1 A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 12 | 86.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | SONIC BOOM XB/B1/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 2 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SILVER DESTINY K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | LOYAL BO BO SR1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 13 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | HIGH PERCENTAGE B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SIGHT HERO BO/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | AMAZINGTEAMWORK TT1 Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 4 | 126.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | BOWSER A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | PATCH OF KINGDOM M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 137.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | SHINING FORTUNE P-/XB/PC2 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 53.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 11 | WINDCHEATER L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HONG KONG HALL | 11.5% | 8.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA | 11.4% | 8.76 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | AMAZINGTEAMWORK | 11.2% | 8.92 | 10 |
| 4 | 12 | LOYAL BO BO | 10.9% | 9.14 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | SILVER DESTINY | 10.0% | 10.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | BOWSER | 8.8% | 11.41 | 11 |
| 7 | 13 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 8.5% | 11.77 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | SKY HEART | 7.4% | 13.50 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | SIGHT HERO | 6.0% | 16.66 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | SHINING FORTUNE | 4.1% | 24.44 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | SONIC BOOM | 3.7% | 26.98 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | LUCKY FIONN | 3.6% | 28.10 | 4 |
| 13 | 7 | PATCH OF KINGDOM | 3.0% | 33.83 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 50
PLACE
1 15.5
8 16.5
10 23
QUINELLA
1,10 185.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 32.5
1,10 81.5
8,10 62.5
FORECAST
1,10 324
TIERCE
1,10,8 1,686
TRIO
1,8,10 246
FIRST 4
1,6,8,10 2,729
QUARTET
1,10,8,6 56,343
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 354
5/10 238.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,10/10>1,8,11 5,649