Sha Tin · 2024-01-07 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 9.3 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER CONTENTED Led early TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 9 | 13.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | FOREVER FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 27.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MISTER DAPPER Closed strongly H/SR/XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly B1/XB1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 3 | 9.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 11 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 13 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG B-/V1/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 10 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 6 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 14 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ROMANTIC FANTASY B1/TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 114.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | VINCY SR/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 5 | 39.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE V-/XB/B2/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 12 | 18.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-07 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SPECIAL HEDGE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by HD, with SUPER CONTENTED second and FOREVER FOLKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite MISTER DAPPER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MISTER DAPPER | 17.9% | 5.59 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | JUBILATION | 15.6% | 6.42 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 9.2% | 10.91 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 7.9% | 12.71 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 7.1% | 14.11 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE | 6.4% | 15.72 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 6.0% | 16.57 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER CONTENTED | 6.0% | 16.78 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 5.8% | 17.21 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 4.7% | 21.34 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SERANGOON | 4.3% | 23.17 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | VINCY | 4.0% | 25.14 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 3.0% | 33.79 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | FOREVER FOLKS | 2.3% | 43.66 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 93
PLACE
9 57
12 32
14 31.5
QUINELLA
12,14 533
QUINELLA PLACE
9,12 350
9,14 382
12,14 173
FORECAST
12,14 1,008
TIERCE
12,14,9 20,162
TRIO
9,12,14 3,195
FIRST 4
2,9,12,14 1,954
QUARTET
12,14,9,2 60,837
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/9,12,14 214,151
3RD DOUBLE
2/12 361
2/14 74.5